Control state spirits shelf dollar growth was down 0.6% during March while trending at 5.9% during the past twelve months. Montana(6.5%), New Hampshire(13.4%), and West Virginia(6.3%) reported growth rates exceeding their twelve-month trends. Alabama(5.0%), Iowa(0.6%), Idaho(4.3%), Montgomery County Maryland(-6.0%), Maine(-0.8%), Michigan(-14.8%), Mississippi(-1.1%), North Carolina(1.5%), Ohio(4.8%), Oregon(4.1%), Pennsylvania(0.7%), Utah(-14.3%), Virginia(3.0%), Vermont(-1.3%), and Wyoming(-0.8%) grew shelf dollars at rates below their twelve-month trends. Shelf dollars in the control states are up 6.4% year-to-date compared to 5.7% last year-to-date.
Price/Mix for March is 2.4%, slipping from February’s reported 3.0%.
March’s Control State spirits nine-liter case and shelf dollar growth rates were effected by a strong comp and reporting calendar anomalies in the Control States.
Michigan, with 15% of Control States’ spirits nine-liter case volumes and 17% of Control States’ dollars, reported four weeks of sales this March versus five weeks of sales during March 2018, artificially deflating sales and skewing Control States results. Michigan had seven fewer selling days during this year’s March than during last year’s.
Utah, with 3% of Control States’ spirits nine-liter case volumes and 2% of Control States’ dollars, reported four weeks of sales this March versus five weeks of sales during March 2018, artificially deflating sales and skewing Control States results. Utah had six fewer selling days during this year’s March than during last year’s.
Retail outlets selling spirits in five states—Alabama, Mississippi, Montana, North Carolina, and Utah—are closed on Sundays. March, 2019 had five Sundays versus four during March, 2018. For your information, please note that effective March, 2019, retailers in West Virginia are open for business on Sundays; West Virginia had four additional selling days during this year’s March.
Overall, March 2019 had twelve fewer selling days, 2.3% fewer, than last year’s March.
After equivalizing nine-liter spirits case sales with respect to selling-day variations, March’s volumetric growth is 1.2%, and rolling-twelve-month volume is up 3.2%. Likewise, after equivalizing shelf dollars, March’s shelf dollar growth rate is 4.0% with a twelve-month trend of 6.1%.
March’s equivalized Price/Mix is 2.8%.
Irish Whiskey, with 2% share of the nine-liter case control states spirits market, was March’s fastest growing category with 4.7% reported and a twelve-month trend of 12.0%. Tequila, with 6% share, reported 4.2% growth and a 9.9% twelve-month trend. Vodka, with 34% share, grew during the same periods at -3.9% and 2.6%, respectively. Brandy/Cognac(-5.3%), Canadian Whiskey(-1.4%), Cocktails(0.1), Cordials(-6.4%), Domestic Whiskey(-0.2%), Gin(-5.2%), Irish Whiskey(4.7%), Rum(-7.5%), Scotch(-3.4%), Tequila(4.2%), and Vodka(-3.9%) grew at rates below their twelve-month trends.
March’s nine-liter wine case sales growth rate was -9.7%. Pennsylvania (reporting -10.5% nine-liter case growth for wines), New Hampshire (-2.7%), Utah (-21.4%), Mississippi (-0.6%), Montgomery County Maryland (-12.1%), and Wyoming (-5.8%) are the control states that are the sole wholesalers of wines and spirits within their geographical boundaries. Rolling-twelve-month wine volume growth in these six control states was -1.8%, down from February’s reported -0.7%.
|
9L Cases |
Shelf $ |
Price/Mix |
Control States |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Total Control States |
-3.0 | -0.6 | <2.4% |
|
|
Central Region |
-6.4 |
-3.9 |
2.5% |
IA, MD, MI, OH, PA, WV |
|
NE Region |
8.1 |
7.4 |
-0.7 |
ME, NH, VT |
|
NW Region |
-2.3 |
0.3 |
2.6% |
ID, MT, OR, UT, WY |
|
Southern Region |
-0.6 |
2.4 |
3.0% |
AL, MS, NC, VA |
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ABOUT NABCA
Established in 1938, NABCA is the national association representing the Control State Systems - those jurisdictions that directly control the distribution and sale of beverage alcohol within their borders. Headquartered in Alexandria, VA, NABCA’s mission is to support member jurisdictions in their efforts to protect public health and safety and assure responsible and efficient systems for beverage alcohol distribution and sales. For more information about the NABCA, visit www.nabca.org.